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07 Jun 2026SpaceX is expected to launch one of the largest initial public offerings in U.S. capital markets history, with plans to raise approximately $75 billion at a valuation of about $1.75 trillion. Pricing is expected on Wednesday, with trading scheduled to begin on Nasdaq on Thursday. This is not another technology IPO. It is a mega event that could become a broad liquidity test for the entire market, arriving at a time when investors already have significant exposure to growth stocks, semiconductors, software, and AI-related companies.
The question is not whether there will be demand for the offering. Demand is widely expected given that the company combines some of the strongest themes in the market today, including space, satellite communications, infrastructure, defense, advanced computing, and AI. The real question is where the capital will come from. If SpaceX is listed at a valuation approaching $2 trillion, the event could reshape portfolio allocations, attract institutional flows, and potentially trigger profit taking in other technology stocks to make room for the new market giant.
This issue is particularly sensitive because Wall Street enters the week following a powerful rally. The S&P 500 declined last week after nine consecutive weeks of gains, but it still remains up about 8% since the start of 2026 and roughly 16% above its late March low. Over the past two months, nearly every market pullback has been met with renewed buying interest, particularly in technology stocks.
The strength of the recent advance may also leave markets more vulnerable to negative surprises. Last week employment report reinforced concerns that U.S. economic activity remains too strong relative to the Federal Reserve inflation target, making it more difficult to begin cutting rates. The U.S. economy added 172,000 jobs in May, above expectations, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.3%. March and April payroll figures were also revised higher by 93,000 jobs. While the data appears strong, part of the increase came from leisure and hospitality sectors, which added 70,000 jobs, well above their annual average, with some market participants attributing the demand to preparations for the World Cup. This suggests that part of the labor market strength may be temporary rather than evidence of broad and sustained economic acceleration.
Even so, the combination of strong employment data, solid ISM readings, rising job openings, and ongoing price pressures was enough to shift market sentiment. Bond yields moved higher, the dollar strengthened, and growth stocks declined. Earlier this year, investors expected rate cuts to support equities. The market is now beginning to consider the opposite possibility. If inflation remains sticky and economic data continues to surprise on the upside, an additional rate hike can no longer be ruled out.
This week inflation data will be critical. The Consumer Price Index for May will be released on Wednesday, followed by the Producer Price Index on Thursday. Investors will focus not only on the headline figures but also on the underlying components. Markets will examine whether higher energy and gasoline prices are spreading into other categories, whether services inflation remains elevated, and whether core inflation continues to prove persistent.
If inflation surprises to the upside, expectations for additional rate cuts could fade further, bond yields could continue rising, and pressure on growth stocks could intensify. Conversely, a softer reading could provide some relief following the weakness seen at the end of last week.
Last week, Broadcom reported strong AI-related revenue growth, but its AI semiconductor outlook failed to satisfy investors, leading to a decline in the stock and weakness across the broader semiconductor sector. At the same time, reports that Nvidia may reduce DRAM content by roughly half in its Vera Rubin systems fueled concerns about slowing memory demand. These reports increased fears of weaker growth across parts of the AI supply chain after a period in which investors had priced in rapid expansion across nearly every segment.
Technology has once again become the central pillar of the U.S. equity market. The sectors weight within the S&P 500 rose above 39% this week, the highest level on record. As a result, any disappointment from major technology companies or any link in the AI value chain now carries a greater impact on the broader indices.
In this environment, upcoming earnings reports from Oracle and Adobe will receive greater attention than usual. Oracle has gained more than 9% this year, supported by expectations for cloud infrastructure and AI growth. Adobe, by contrast, has fallen about 28% amid concerns that generative AI tools could reshape the creative software market and pressure its business model. The results from both companies will provide another test of the question that has dominated markets for months: whether AI is expanding software revenue opportunities or primarily creating pressure on pricing and business models.
Software stocks have recovered in recent months after a weak start to the year as some investors concluded that fears of AI agents replacing entire software platforms were overstated. The reality appears more complex. AI is not eliminating the software sector, but it is changing the competitive landscape. Companies that can demonstrate benefits from AI adoption, automation, and productivity improvements are once again receiving support through earnings momentum and multiple expansion. Companies that rely heavily on per-user pricing models without a clear AI value proposition remain under pressure.
Alongside equities, the cryptocurrency market will continue to attract attention because of its growing divergence from Wall Street. While U.S. stock indices remain near record highs, Bitcoin remains well below its peak levels and continues to struggle. Bitcoin fell below $60,000 over the weekend before recovering modestly. The primary explanation is that the drivers behind the two markets are different. Equities currently benefit from corporate earnings, AI investment, share repurchases, and institutional flows into large companies. Bitcoin is far more dependent on liquidity conditions, interest rates, and risk appetite. When rates remain high and the dollar strengthens, the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset rises, encouraging capital to move back toward bonds and cash.
The weakness is not limited to Bitcoin. Ethereum continues to lag, not necessarily because of technological challenges, but because investors increasingly favor assets viewed as relatively safer within the crypto ecosystem itself. During periods of geopolitical tension, elevated energy prices, and concerns about higher rates for longer, capital tends to move toward perceived quality. Bitcoin remains the anchor asset of the sector, while Ethereum is viewed as more dependent on liquidity, decentralized finance activity, and broader risk appetite.
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