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03 Jul 2025The unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.1% in June, defying forecasts of a rise to 4.3% and signaling continued strength in the US job market. The latest US jobs report shows the American economy added 147,000 jobs, easily beating expectations of 110,000. The data underscores a resilient labor market even as markets await the Federal Reserve's next rate decision.
Key sectors driving June’s job growth were public sector hiring (+73,000 jobs, mainly in state and local education) and the healthcare sector, which added 39,000 positions. Despite strong hiring, average hourly wages rose only 0.2% month-over-month and 3.7% year-over-year, indicating tame wage inflation that could ease pressure on the Fed.
The participation rate dipped to 62.3%, while government bond yields climbed sharply as traders recalibrated their expectations for Fed rate cuts. President Trump has renewed calls for immediate rate cuts, arguing that inflation remains under control, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell has signaled a cautious approach, keeping all options open while monitoring economic data.
Although recent weekly jobless claims ticked higher and private sector ADP data hinted at softer hiring, the US labor market continues to defy slowdown fears, leaving the Fed with a complex path ahead.
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