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The latest US employment report has surprised economists and investors alike, showing stronger-than-expected job growth despite ongoing concerns about the impact of President Trump’s trade policies. In May, the U.S. economy added 139,000 new jobs, surpassing forecasts of 126,000, while the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%. This robust job creation highlights a resilient labor market even as trade tensions and policy uncertainties continue to influence economic sentiment.
Wages also saw a notable increase, with average hourly earnings rising by 0.4% from April and 3.9% year-over-year, signaling ongoing tight labor market conditions. This wage growth adds inflationary pressure, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve’s balancing act between supporting growth and controlling inflation.
Sector-wise, healthcare led the job gains with 62,000 new positions, well above its annual average, followed by leisure & hospitality with 48,000, and social assistance adding 16,000 jobs. These gains in service sectors underscore the shifting dynamics of the American workforce.
However, the report is not without mixed signals. Earlier in the week, the ADP private payrolls report showed a modest 37,000 job increase, the lowest in over two years, and weekly unemployment claims recently hit a peak unseen since October 2024. Meanwhile, government employment dropped by 22,000 jobs due to federal workforce reductions tied to efficiency measures under Trump’s administration, led in part by Elon Musk’s government streamlining efforts.
Overall, the US labor market remains stable but evolving, with strong job creation in key service sectors offset by public sector cuts and signs of moderation in private hiring. The ongoing trade policy uncertainties continue to inject caution among employers, suggesting a cautious outlook for future employment trends.
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