Wall Street Week Ahead, Jobs Report, Trump Budget and Rate Cut Hopes
Wall Street Week Ahead: Investors eye the June Jobs Report, Trump budget, and rate cut hopes shaping market moves this week.
Jun 29 2025
Wall Street gears up for a shortened trading week and investors remain laser-focused on the June Jobs Report, Trump’s budget plan, and interest rate cut hopes. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq’s record highs reflect optimism, but beneath the surface, slowing U.S. growth, softening consumer spending, and weakening housing data suggest underlying economic strain.
Thursday June Jobs Report is the week macro event, with economists expecting further hiring slowdown amid tariff uncertainties. A strong report could push the Federal Reserve to delay rate cuts, while weaker data may increase pressure on the Fed to act. The Fed’s mixed signals low inflation supporting cuts, but a strong labor market warranting caution are keeping traders on edge.
Meanwhile, investors are watching Trump “One Big Beautiful Bill” budget push, which targets major energy and financial reforms. Although Trump aims for passage by July 4, markets expect potential delays, with green energy stocks and U.S. firms exposed to Chinese components poised for volatility based on updates.
Consumer spending, which grew at just 0.5% annualized in Q1, its slowest pace in a decade outside COVID disruptions, continues to flag, despite low household savings rates, suggesting consumers are spending less, not saving more. Housing market softness, with declining new home sales and construction starts, adds to recession signals even as stock indices rise.
Key earnings this week include Constellation Brands (STZ) on Tuesday, with volatility likely as the beer giant faces slowing consumer demand, and Tesla’s June delivery numbers on Wednesday, providing critical insights for EV market projections in H2.
What to watch:
With rate cut hopes, slowing growth, and the Fed’s next move in play, this week Wall Street outlook will shape market sentiment heading into the second half of 2025.
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Please note that the article should not be considered as investment advice or marketing, and it does not take into account the personal data and requirements of any individual. It is not a substitute for the reader's own judgment, and it should not be considered as advice or recommendation for buying or selling any securities or financial products.