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September is evolving into yet another lackluster month for Wall Street's key indices. This follows the cessation of the year-long rally in August. As of September's outset, the Nasdaq recorded a 2.5% decline, while the S&P 500 experienced a 1.5% dip. When incorporating August's performance, the Nasdaq shows an approximate 4% decrease, with the S&P 500 declining by nearly 3%.
The significant inquiry at hand is whether the downward trend observed over the past six weeks will persist into the final quarter of this year. Recent developments in the global economy, such as the escalating price of oil contributing to inflation and the ongoing increase in interest rates, could potentially exacerbate the bearish direction of the stock markets.
Throughout history, September has earned a reputation as a challenging month for investors in the American capital market. Based on data from the CFRA Research Institute, the S&P 500 has, on average, registered a 0.73% decline in September since 1945, making it the least favorable month. August also carries a historical record of negative average returns. Interestingly, it's worth highlighting that no distinct economic rationale has been identified to account for September's unfavorable performance.
Economists from various backgrounds believe that the global economy will play a pivotal role in shaping market trends in the upcoming months. While the most probable scenario is still a "soft landing" for inflation, it's important to note that the economic landscape is evolving, and there's a likelihood that inflation will increase toward year-end. Consequently, it's quite possible that market declines may persist, potentially causing red figures in the stock markets in the coming months.
The primary driver behind this year's stock market gains was largely the excitement surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) and the dominant technology firms that spearheaded the advances across multiple indices. It is anticipated that the enthusiasm surrounding these stocks will gradually subside. Therefore, even in the event of a controlled inflation rate, it is unlikely that the markets will sustain the same level of gains that followed the earlier surge related to AI stocks this year.
Please note that the article should not be considered as investment advice or marketing, and it does not take into account the personal data and requirements of any individual. It is not a substitute for the reader's own judgment, and it should not be considered as advice or recommendation for buying or selling any securities or financial products.
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Disclaimer:
The Score performance whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. The results reflect performance of a strategy not historically offered to investors and does not represent returns that any investor actually attained.
The results reflect performance of a strategy not historically offered to investors and does not represent returns that any investor actually attained. The Readiness Indicators, Sentiment Indicators and total score are calculated by the retroactive application of a model constructed on the basis of historical data and based on assumptions integral to the model which may or may not be testable and are subject to losses. Active trading is generally not appropriate for someone of limited resources, limited invesment or trading experience, or low-risk tolerance. Your capital may be at risk.
Please note that no offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities, securities derivatives of future products of any kind, or any type of trading or invesment advise, recommendation or strategy, is made, given or endorsed by StocksRunner including any of their affiliates ("TS").
This information is provided for illustrative purposes only. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision. we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice.
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Disclaimer:
The Score performance whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. The results reflect performance of a strategy not historically offered to investors and does not represent returns that any investor actually attained.
The results reflect performance of a strategy not historically offered to investors and does not represent returns that any investor actually attained. The Readiness Indicators, Sentiment Indicators and total score are calculated by the retroactive application of a model constructed on the basis of historical data and based on assumptions integral to the model which may or may not be testable and are subject to losses. Active trading is generally not appropriate for someone of limited resources, limited invesment or trading experience, or low-risk tolerance. Your capital may be at risk.
Please note that no offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities, securities derivatives of future products of any kind, or any type of trading or invesment advise, recommendation or strategy, is made, given or endorsed by StocksRunner including any of their affiliates ("TS").
This information is provided for illustrative purposes only. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision. we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice.