Find new investment opportunities based on Market Sentiment Indicator. Manage watchlist risk with leading indicator of volatility See what influential analysts and investors are saying about stocks in your watchlist
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Find new investment opportunities based on Market Sentiment Indicator. Manage watchlist risk with leading indicator of volatility See what influential analysts and investors are saying about stocks in your watchlist
Most Trending
Most Trending
TrendspotteamFinding new investment opportunities based on Market Sentiment and Indicators. Manage portfolio risk with leading indicator of volatility See what influential analysts and investors are saying about stocks in your watchlist
The trading week on Wall Street that opens tomorrow is expected to be quiet, especially since Fed members are entering a period when they are prevented from speaking publicly. The report season is almost over and despite the difficulties in the macro environment and the interest rate hikes, most of the companies exceeded analysts' expectations and even raised forecasts.
The leading indices are on the back of sharp gains since the start of the session with the Nasdaq jumping 27%, the S&P 500 climbing 12% and the Dow only rising 2%. The star of the surges in recent weeks is artificial intelligence (AI). Many companies , led by Nvidia, raised their forecasts by dozens of percent and pointed to increased demand for a field that is gaining momentum. However, there are estimates in the markets that we are expected to see some correction in the coming days on Wall Street after last week's sharp jumps.
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December 11
The Fed's war against inflation is beginning to show difficulties such as the employment market which indicates unexpected strength. Despite this, the Fed has already emphasized several times that they will continue their quest to control inflation and will not hesitate to take difficult measures even if these may precede the arrival of the recession.
The positive employment data, an improvement in some of the current economic data and a sharp increase in the core PCE index have led in the last three weeks to increased expectations that the Fed will raise the interest rate once more to 5.5%. At the same time, the words of Fed members Jefferson & Harker that they support leaving the interest rate unchanged at the upcoming meeting, and in favor of the month of July, led to the fact that the markets are now pricing in a higher chance of an interest rate increase in July (51%), than in June (30%).
The removal of the risk of insolvency of the government together with the uneven picture from the employment report data supported the decrease in yields in the bond market, especially in the medium and long term. According to the futures contracts on the Fed interest rate, the probability of an interest rate increase in the upcoming decision on June 14, decreased in the last week, but the market still expects an approximately 80% probability of an interest rate increase in one of the two upcoming decisions. However, the capital market expects that towards the end of the year a process of lowering interest rates will begin, and that in a year the Fed interest rate will drop to a level of about 4.5%.
After a significant jump in the values of chip stocks, led by Nvidia, we should now expect to realize profits in the near term. The feeling of FOMO often causes investors to overestimate near-term valuations and future cash flow. Nvidia is expected to benefit from the growing adoption of AI solutions, in the near and long term. AI is a developing technology that constantly requires more and more computing power and chips. As of now, Nvidia has the most powerful chips for generative AI, but in the future, greater competition is expected.
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Please note that the article should not be considered as investment advice or marketing, and it does not take into account the personal data and requirements of any individual. It is not a substitute for the reader's own judgment, and it should not be considered as advice or recommendation for buying or selling any securities or financial products.
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The Score performance whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. The results reflect performance of a strategy not historically offered to investors and does not represent returns that any investor actually attained.
The results reflect performance of a strategy not historically offered to investors and does not represent returns that any investor actually attained. The Readiness Indicators, Sentiment Indicators and total score are calculated by the retroactive application of a model constructed on the basis of historical data and based on assumptions integral to the model which may or may not be testable and are subject to losses. Active trading is generally not appropriate for someone of limited resources, limited invesment or trading experience, or low-risk tolerance. Your capital may be at risk.
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Disclaimer:
The Score performance whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. The results reflect performance of a strategy not historically offered to investors and does not represent returns that any investor actually attained.
The results reflect performance of a strategy not historically offered to investors and does not represent returns that any investor actually attained. The Readiness Indicators, Sentiment Indicators and total score are calculated by the retroactive application of a model constructed on the basis of historical data and based on assumptions integral to the model which may or may not be testable and are subject to losses. Active trading is generally not appropriate for someone of limited resources, limited invesment or trading experience, or low-risk tolerance. Your capital may be at risk.
Please note that no offer or solicitation to buy or sell securities, securities derivatives of future products of any kind, or any type of trading or invesment advise, recommendation or strategy, is made, given or endorsed by StocksRunner including any of their affiliates ("TS").
This information is provided for illustrative purposes only. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision. we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice.
