Global Markets Tumble as Fed Rate Cut Hopes Fade

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•  14 Nov 2025
 

•   NVDA  
   
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The mood across global markets turned decisively sour overnight, and if you are watching your portfolio this morning, you are not alone in feeling the sting. Wall Street's sharp selloff rippled through Asia, with tech stocks bearing the brunt of the pain, and European futures pointing to another difficult session ahead.

The Nikkei dropped 1.8%, the Hang Seng fell 1.7%, and across the region, equity indices shed around 1.6%. For weeks, markets had been pricing in a December rate cut from the Federal Reserve. But senior Fed officials have been speaking recently, and their message is unmistakable: a rate cut is not in the bag. The probability of a December move has now fallen below 50%, and that recalibration is hitting risk assets hard.

When $NVDA falls and $TSLA drops nearly 7% in a single session while the Nasdaq slides 2.3%, you know sentiment has shifted. SoftBank $SFTBY is down 8% today, capping a brutal three-day slide that has erased 20% of its value. The trigger? The company announced it had sold its entire stake in Nvidia. On paper, that is a massive profit realization. But the market is reading between the lines. If SoftBank, one of the most aggressive AI bulls through its ARM holdings, is cashing out of Nvidia at these levels, what does that say about valuations?

Fresh data out of China is painting a concerning picture. Fixed asset investment fell 1.7% over the first ten months of the year, an unprecedented decline for this period. Industrial output in October grew just 4.9% year-over-year, the weakest reading since early 2025. Consumer spending is soft, investment is contracting, and the real estate sector continues to sputter.

China is shifting from emerging from crisis to managing a slowdown. For global investors, this matters. A weaker China means softer demand for commodities, technology, and industrial goods worldwide.

Even crypto is feeling the pressure. $BTC has tumbled below $97,000, down more than 20% from its early October peak. When both equities and digital assets are selling off in tandem, it suggests a broader risk-off move.

Interestingly, that flight to safety is showing up in precious metals. Gold is trading around $4,200 per ounce, up roughly 5% this week, while silver has surged over 10% in the past five days.

Futures on U.S. indices are down modestly, around 0.2%, suggesting some stabilization. But the question now is whether this is a healthy pullback after a strong run, or the beginning of something more serious. When multiple narratives converge, Fed policy uncertainty, China slowdown, AI valuation concerns, and broad risk-off flows, it pays to be thoughtful about what you are holding and why.

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